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After the US PPI and initial application data were released, the price of gold dropped further. After the US PPI and initial application data exceeded expectations, the price of gold continued to decline. Paul Ashworth, a macro analyst at Kaitou, said: "The components of PCE favored by the Federal Reserve are generally weak, and the CPI data released yesterday indicate that the monthly rate of core PCE will only increase slightly by 0.03%. Now it seems that the Fed is more likely to continue to cut interest rates by 25 basis points next week. " At the same time, the number of initial jobless claims increased by 17,000 last week, the highest level since mid-October last year, while economists expected a decrease of 4,000 to 220,000.Liu Xiangdong, Deputy Director of Scientific Research and Information Department of International Economic Exchange Center: Comprehensive improvement of "involution" competition will help scientific and technological innovation and industrial development enter a virtuous circle. The Central Economic Work Conference proposed that scientific and technological innovation should lead the development of new quality productive forces and build a modern industrial system. In this regard, Liu Xiangdong, deputy director of the Scientific Research and Information Department of China International Economic Exchange Center, said that at present, China's economic development is in a critical period of transforming old and new kinetic energy. Scientific and technological innovation is the core element of developing new quality productivity. To break through the bottleneck of development from the supply side, it is necessary to lead industrial innovation and development with scientific and technological innovation and actively cultivate and develop new quality productivity. To cultivate new quality productivity, we should drive productivity to leap to advanced quality with scientific and technological innovation, open up new development fields and tracks with original and subversive technological innovation, and shape new development momentum and new advantages. (SSE)The forecast of the European Central Bank assumes that the oil price will be $81.8 per barrel in 2024, $71.8 per barrel in 2025, $70.1 per barrel in 2026 and $69.2 per barrel in 2027.

European Central Bank President Lagarde: The neutral interest rate may be slightly higher than before. European Central Bank President Lagarde said that as it gradually approaches the neutral interest rate, it will further discuss its related issues. The neutral interest rate may be slightly higher than before, and will be discussed in due course.Israeli Army Attacks Prime Minister Li in Southern Lebanon: A flagrant violation of the ceasefire agreement. On the 12th, local time, Lebanese caretaker Prime Minister Mikati issued a statement on Israel's attack on Shyam town, an important town in southern Lebanon. He said that less than 24 hours after the army began to deploy in Shyam and Magayoun to implement the ceasefire decision, Israel attacked Shyam town again, causing casualties. Mikati called the attack a flagrant violation of the ceasefire agreement and a violation of the commitments made by the United States and France as mediators. He called on these countries to clarify their positions on this incident and take immediate measures to curb Israel's aggression. Mikati said that the continuous violation of the ceasefire agreement is the responsibility of the monitoring committee responsible for monitoring the implementation of the ceasefire, and they must resolutely solve this problem and prevent such incidents from happening again. On the same day, Israeli drones attacked the town of Shyam, an important town in southern Lebanon. (CCTV News)SINOMACH (ING): It will be "neutral" to stop the easing cycle (temporarily) after the European Central Bank cuts interest rates again.

Traders have reduced their bets on the easing policy of the European Central Bank, and it is now expected that the interest rate reduction will be less than 125 basis points in 2025.Brazilian President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva has regained consciousness after undergoing head surgery again. At present, the situation is stable. On the morning of 12th local time, Brazilian President Lula underwent head surgery again in the Syrian-Lebanese hospital in Sao Paulo, the largest city in the country, to prevent further intracranial hemorrhage. The reporter from the General Station learned from the press conference held by the hospital that Lula had recovered after the operation and was in a stable condition, so he could talk with the medical staff. The medical team said that the operation, as part of the first treatment on the 10th, started at around 7: 00 on the 12th and lasted less than an hour. The medical staff said that the operation was successful and Lula needed further examination in the intensive care unit until the 13th. According to the current rehabilitation situation, the medical team assessed that Lula's discharge time was on the 16th or 17th of this month.Brazilian Presidential Spokesman: President Lula will run for re-election in 2026.